Unusual Machines Stock Performance

UMAC Stock   13.87  0.34  2.39%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Unusual Machines holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 2.25, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Unusual Machines will likely underperform. Please check Unusual Machines' potential upside, accumulation distribution, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Unusual Machines' existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Unusual Machines are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Unusual Machines exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.39)
Five Day Return
4.29
Year To Date Return
2.21
Ten Year Return
357.76
All Time Return
357.76
1
Will ONDS Strengthened Balance Sheet Fuel Its Defense Ambitions
12/04/2025
2
Disposition of 75000 shares by Hoff Brian Joseph of Unusual Machines, at 10.3143 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
3
Disposition of 65789 shares by Allan Evans of Unusual Machines at 1.99 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/29/2025
4
Whats Driving the Market Sentiment Around Unusual Machines Inc
01/06/2026
5
Insider Trading
01/09/2026
6
Unusual Machines Stock Price Down 6.2 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
7
Disposition of 8750 shares by Hoff Brian Joseph of Unusual Machines at 9.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
8
Acquisition by Andrew Camden of 110000 shares of Unusual Machines subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
9
Unusual Machines operations chief takes president role amid U.S. drone expansion - Stock Titan
02/02/2026
10
Unusual Machines Trading 9.4 percent Higher - Time to Buy - MarketBeat
02/09/2026
11
Acquisition by Rich Sanford of 6052 shares of Unusual Machines subject to Rule 16b-3
02/12/2026
12
JFB and XTEND Announce 1.5B Business Combination to Establish a Nasdaq-Listed US Leader in AI-Driven Autonomous Defense Robotics
02/17/2026
13
Unusual Machines Stock Price Up 6.5 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
02/19/2026
14
Safe Pro Group Projects Over 500 percent Year-Over-Year Q1 2026 Revenue Growth Following U.S. Government Award for AI Edge Processing Systems
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow894.8 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-852.8 K

Unusual Machines Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,094  in Unusual Machines on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  293.00  from holding Unusual Machines or generate 26.78% return on investment over 90 days. Unusual Machines is currently generating 0.6673% in daily expected returns and assumes 7.5411% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 67% of stocks are less volatile than Unusual, and 87% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Unusual Machines is expected to generate 9.86 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of risk.

Unusual Machines Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Unusual Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.87 90 days 13.87 
about 36.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unusual Machines to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.99 (This Unusual Machines probability density function shows the probability of Unusual Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Unusual Machines will likely underperform. Additionally Unusual Machines has an alpha of 0.9445, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Unusual Machines Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Unusual Machines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unusual Machines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.2112.7520.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7416.2823.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.7215.2722.81
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.4719.2021.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Unusual Machines. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Unusual Machines' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Unusual Machines' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Unusual Machines.

Unusual Machines Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unusual Machines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unusual Machines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unusual Machines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unusual Machines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.94
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.25
σ
Overall volatility
2.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Unusual Machines Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unusual Machines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unusual Machines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Unusual Machines is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Unusual Machines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Unusual Machines has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.69 M.
Unusual Machines generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Safe Pro Group Projects Over 500 percent Year-Over-Year Q1 2026 Revenue Growth Following U.S. Government Award for AI Edge Processing Systems

Unusual Machines Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unusual Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unusual Machines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unusual Machines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.8 M

Unusual Machines Fundamentals Growth

Unusual Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Unusual Machines, and Unusual Machines fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Unusual Stock performance.

About Unusual Machines Performance

By analyzing Unusual Machines' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Unusual Machines' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Unusual Machines has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Unusual Machines has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 109.16  97.03 
Return On Tangible Assets(5.68)(5.39)
Return On Capital Employed(1.29)(1.35)
Return On Assets(2.28)(2.17)
Return On Equity(2.48)(2.36)

Things to note about Unusual Machines performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Unusual Machines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Unusual Machines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Unusual Machines is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Unusual Machines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Unusual Machines has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.69 M.
Unusual Machines generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Safe Pro Group Projects Over 500 percent Year-Over-Year Q1 2026 Revenue Growth Following U.S. Government Award for AI Edge Processing Systems
Evaluating Unusual Machines' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Unusual Machines' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Unusual Machines' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Unusual Machines' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Unusual Machines' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Unusual Machines' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Unusual Machines' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Unusual Machines' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Unusual Machines' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Unusual Machines' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Unusual Machines' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Unusual Machines' price analysis, check to measure Unusual Machines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Unusual Machines is operating at the current time. Most of Unusual Machines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Unusual Machines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Unusual Machines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Unusual Machines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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